Sportsbook pricing gaps are creating clear value opportunities across UEFA Champions League second-leg markets, as tactical shifts and rule changes continue to impact modelling.
On the latest episode of WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips, analyst Pavlos Laguretos outlined how the removal of the away goals rule has altered second-leg incentives, leading to potential mispricing across sides, totals and player props.
He highlighted major discrepancies between operators, pointing to a goalkeeper saves prop priced at -165 with DraftKings and +120 with bet365.
In the tie between Atletico Madrid and Club Brugge, level at 3-3 on aggregate, Laguretos expects a cautious approach. With no away goals rule in play, a 1-0 win is sufficient to progress. He recommends a first-half under 1.25 goals at +105, citing reduced urgency in early phases.
For Bayer Leverkusen against Olympiacos, Leverkusen hold a 2-0 aggregate lead. Rather than backing the match line, Laguretos targets a prop: Alex Grimaldo over 1+ shots on target at -130 on DraftKings, based on his set-piece role and shot profile.
The largest perceived pricing gap comes in Inter Milan versus Bodo/Glimt. Despite Bodo/Glimt winning the first leg by two goals, they are listed around +850 on the moneyline. Laguretos recommends the +2 spread at -120, noting they can still advance with a one-goal defeat.
In Newcastle United’s tie with Qarabag FK, Newcastle lead 6-1 on aggregate. Expecting rotation, Laguretos suggests a small-stake Qarabag double chance at +500 and over 4.5 saves for goalkeeper Mateusz Kochalski at +120 on bet365.
